Toronto’s housing market is making headlines with a sharp reversal, and as someone who brings both a CPA’s financial lens and a real estate broker’s market insight, I want to break down what this means for buyers, sellers, and investors across the GTA. Inflation-adjusted home prices have dropped about 10% year-over-year—the steepest reset among major cities globally. Benchmark pricing tells a similar story: Toronto’s composite home price is down around 5% year-over-year (seasonally adjusted), now hovering near $931,000.
Condos in the core may look more affordable based on income alone, but when you factor in mortgage interest, maintenance, taxes, and a risk premium, the reality is that owning still costs significantly more than renting. For those navigating the market, this creates a narrow window—prices are softer for now, but if demand picks up before new supply comes online, things could tighten quickly. In fact, Toronto needs to boost annual housing starts by about 50% over the next decade just to return to 2019 affordability levels—a clear signal of the ongoing supply challenge.
My approach always centers on financial intelligence and strategic clarity, whether you’re making your first move or adding to your portfolio. In volatile markets like this, making informed, numbers-driven decisions is more important than ever.
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